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Public Opinion Quarterly 57:332-347 (1993)
© 1993 American Association for Public Opinion Research

INNUMERACY ABOUT MINORITY POPULATIONS

RICHARD NADEAU, assistant professor of political science, RICHARD G. NIEMI, professor of political science and JEFFREY LEVINE, graduate student in political science

The Université de Montréal
The University of Rochester
Indiana University

We use a small but nationally representative sample to investigate the sources of innumeracy regarding the proportion of blacks, Hispanics, and Jews in the U.S. population. In addition to a number of standard demographic differences, we find that overestimates are closely related to region as well as to the density of the local black/Hispanic population. The extent to which minority populations are perceived as a kind of threat is also related to perceived proportions, though the direction of causality cannot be determined. We discuss the meaningfulness of these population estimates and speculate on whether trying to improve them would alter attitudes toward minorities.


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