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Public Opinion Quarterly Advance Access originally published online on February 18, 2007
Public Opinion Quarterly 2007 71(1):126-141; doi:10.1093/poq/nfl049
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© The Author 2007. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Association for Public Opinion Research. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org

The Polls—Review

Public Opinion Research and Support for the Iraq War

Adam J. Berinsky and James N. Druckman

Address correspondence to James N. Druckman, e-mail: druckman{at}northwestern.edu

Professors Peter Feaver, Christopher Gelpi, and Jason Reifler's theory of the determinants of public support for war has received a great deal of attention among academics, journalists, and policymakers. They argue that support for war hinges on initial support for military action and the belief in the success of the war. In this review, we take a critical and constructive view of their work, focusing on methodological concerns. We discuss the dependent variable used by the authors—individual casualty tolerance—and argue that it is an insufficient measure of war support. We also make the case that their independent variables of interest—initial support for war and evaluation of war success—may, in fact, be best understood as indicators of latent support for the war more generally. Finally, we discuss the need for more research into the determinants of support for war, focusing on core values and elite rhetoric as potential variables for continued and future study.


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C. Gelpi and J. Reifler
The Polls--Review: Reply to Berinsky and Druckman: Success Still Matters
Public Opin Q, March 1, 2008; 72(1): 125 - 133.
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