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Public Opinion Quarterly Advance Access originally published online on November 7, 2008
Public Opinion Quarterly 2008 72(4):753-767; doi:10.1093/poq/nfn049
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© The Author 2008. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Association for Public Opinion Research. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org

Homophobic Innumeracy?

Estimating the Size of the Gay and Lesbian Population

Michael D. Martinez, Kenneth D. Wald and Stephen C. Craig

Address correspondence to Michael D. Martinez; e-mail: martinez{at}ufl.edu.

Previous research has shown that mass perceptions about the sizes of minority populations are influenced by sociodemographic, threat, and context variables. This paper extends the analysis to a population group that has thus far received only limited attention, gays and lesbians. Our analysis of a statewide survey of Florida residents in 2002 shows that people in sociodemographic groups associated with low levels of political knowledge were more likely to report higher estimates of the gay population. Threat variables and objective context had relatively little impact, but estimates also were higher among individuals who reported personal contact with gays and lesbians.

MICHAEL D. MARTINEZ, KENNETH D. WALD AND STEPHEN C. CRAIG are with the Department of Political Science, University of Florida, PO Box 117325, Gainesville, FL 32611-7325, USA. An earlier version of this paper was presented at the 2006 Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association. We appreciate helpful comments from Charles Gossett, Marvin Overby, Jay Barth, and anonymous reviewers.


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