Public Opinion Quarterly Advance Access published online on March 18, 2009
Public Opinion Quarterly, doi:10.1093/poq/nfp002
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The Immensely Inflated News Audience: Assessing Bias in Self-Reported News Exposure
Address correspondence to Markus Prior; e-mail: mprior{at}princeton.edu.
Many studies of media effects use self-reported news exposure as their key independent variable without establishing its validity. Motivated by anecdotal evidence that people's reports of their own media use can differ considerably from independent assessments, this study examines systematically the accuracy of survey-based self-reports of news exposure. I compare survey estimates to Nielsen estimates, which do not rely on self-reports. Results show severe overreporting of news exposure. Survey estimates of network news exposure follow trends in Nielsen ratings relatively well, but exaggerate exposure by a factor of 3 on average and as much as eightfold for some demographics. It follows that apparent media effects may arise not because of differences in exposure, but because of unknown differences in the accuracy of reporting exposure.
MARKUS PRIOR is with the Woodrow Wilson School and the Department of Politics at Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544-1013, USA.